Illinois Results: Tighter Than Forecast
Primary voters went to the polls in Illinois
on Tuesday and the predicted winners performed as expected, but several victory
margins were a bit of a surprise.
In the Governor's race, businessman Bruce Rauner managed to clinch the
Republican nomination, but the race proved much closer than polling had
indicated. Rauner defeated state Sen. Kirk Dillard, 2010 gubernatorial nominee
Bill Brady and state Treasurer Dan Rutherford by a 40-37-15-7 percent split,
respectively, far below what late polling was projecting even though the order
of finish was correctly predicted.
On the Democratic side, vulnerable Gov. Pat Quinn easily became his party's
2014 standard bearer, yet a full 28 percent of his own party primary voters
cast their ballot for a minor candidate. A Quinn-Rauner general election battle
promises to be hard fought and close through to November.
In the Senate race, Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D) was unopposed for
re-nomination. On the Republican side, state Senator and frequent political
candidate Jim Oberweis won the nomination, as expected, but again with a closer
than predicted margin. Oberweis claimed
only 56 percent of the Republican vote against a minor Republican candidate who
was virtually non-existent on the campaign trail. Sen. Durbin will coast to a fourth term in
In the congressional races, 15 of the state's 18 incumbents ran unopposed. In
what proved to be the closest challenge to a sitting member, former Miss
America Erika Harold, failed to win the nomination in the Republican primary
challenge to freshman Rep. Rodney Davis (R-IL-13). Mr. Davis was projected the
winner with 54 percent of the vote, compared to Ms. Harold's 41 percent featuring
a turnout of just over 50,000 GOP voters. The 13th District promises to be a highly
competitive campaign in the fall. Mr. Davis had the lowest 2012 win percentage
of any House Republican (46.5 percent), illuminating certain political weakness
despite his win. Coupled with his closer-than-expected 2014 primary victory,
the 13th District has to be viewed as a serious Democratic conversion
In the Democratic primary, the party favorite, former Judge Ann Callis, claimed
the nomination over college professor George Gollin, but this race, too, was
far from a major landslide. With all of the votes counted, Ms. Callis won a
54-32-14 percent victory against Gollin and minor candidate David Green. With
both candidates scoring 54 percent in their respective primaries, each will
need to strengthen their party bases but will have time to do so because, with
almost eight full months before Election Day, Illinois has one of the longest
general election campaign cycles in the country.
In the surprisingly hotly contested 11th congressional district, state Rep.
Darlene Senger won a tight 38-32-26 percent victory over county Commissioner
Chris Balkema and businessman Bert Miller. Ms. Senger will now face a very uphill general
election contest opposite Rep. Bill Foster (D), who was unopposed in his
primary campaign last night.
Elsewhere, the other two Representatives facing primary challenges each easily
won re-nomination. In Chicago's 4th District, Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D) topped 74
percent against two opponents. Two-term Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R) took his
primary election without suspense, capturing 78 percent of the vote against GOP
opponent, David Hale.
For more information, please contact David Ashinoff at (202) 547-5013 email@example.com.
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