Primary Season is Wrapping Up
The Florida primary proceeded as expected. Gov. Rick Scott won an 88 percent Republican
victory and former Gov. Charlie Crist scored 74 percent on the Democratic side.
With no U.S. Senate race on the ballot this year, all of the contested federal
action is in U.S. House races. The eight challenged incumbents all broke 70
percent of the vote.
In the two congressional races of note, Miami Dade School Board member and
former U.S. Senate state director Carlos Curbelo was an easy winner in the 26th
District. He earns the right to challenge freshman Rep. Joe Garcia (D) in what
will be a highly competitive campaign.
Additionally, former state Rep. and businessman Carl Domino topped five other
Republican candidates with 38 percent of the vote. Though this is another
nominally Republican seat, freshman Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-FL-18) appears
strongly positioned for re-election. This will be a competitive battle, but is
a possible GOP conversion only if a major Republican wave forms.
It is highly likely that the Oklahoma City Republican
run-off voters selected a new Congressman. Former Army Lt. Col. Steve Russell,
who led the military mission that captured Saddam Hussein, and then wrote the
book "We Got Him" to describe the details, defeated state
Corporations Commissioner Patrice Douglas (59-41 percent).
In the Senate race, as expected, state Sen. Connie Johnson clinched the
Democratic Senatorial run-off, but has more than likely won the right to lose
to Rep. James Lankford (R-OK-5) in the fall. The two are vying to replace
resigning Sen. Tom Coburn (R).
In the Governor’s race, state Treasurer and former Cold
Stone Creamery CEO Doug Ducey won the Republican nomination with 37 percent of
the vote against five GOP opponents. Mr. Ducey will now face former Clinton
Administration official Fred DuVal in the general election. Mr. DuVal was
unopposed on the Democratic side of Tuesday night’s primary. Ducey is
considered a slight favorite against DuVal in the general election.
The 1st Congressional District race may take some time to sort out. As
predicted, the 1st District Republican primary proved to be extremely close.
State House Speaker Andy Tobin and rancher Gary Kiehne are within 469 votes of
each other. The eventual winner will challenge Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D), which
will become a highly competitive campaign. Expect a recount and a court
presence in this campaign before an official winner is determined.
In the 2nd Congressional District, former Air Force officer and 2012 Republican
nominee Martha McSally (R) made her re-match with Rep. Ron Barber (D) official.
She easily defeated two Republican opponents, topping 68 percent of the
vote. McSally lost by less than one percent of the vote in 2012, and this
campaign may see her move to the favorite's position before long. The Arizona
border situation, in a mid-term election, could give McSally all the boost she
needs to win in November.
Seventh District Democrats have chosen a new Congressman. State Rep. Ruben
Gallego defeated former Maricopa County Commissioner Mary Rose Wilcox and two
others, winning 48 percent of the vote. Without
a Republican on the ballot, Gallego has for all intents and purposes won the
right to succeed retiring Rep. Ed Pastor (D-AZ-7).
In the 9th district, former military veteran Wendy Rogers defeated ex-Oakland
Raiders and Arizona State University football quarterback Andrew Walter in the
GOP primary. Rogers will now challenge freshman Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) in a
campaign that could become interesting in light of the immigration situation,
and should a Republican wave develop.
Next up on Tuesday, Sept. 9: Delaware, Massachusetts,
New Hampshire and Rhode Island.
For more information,
please contact David Ashinoff at (202) 547-5013 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
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