With Republican nominee Donald Trump down in the polls, the Democratic Party received more good news this week on the House side. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee secured pretty much every preferred candidate in congressional primaries held this past week in two key swing states: Nevada and Virginia. In Nevada's 3rd District, Democrats secured software developer Jacky Rosen, who will face Republican businessman Danny Tarkanian. Tarkanian has already mounted unsuccessful bids for Senate, secretary of state and a House seat in the past. The district is evenly split between Democrats and Republicans so it will be a tough fought race, but right now it leans a bit Democratic due to the political environment in a presidential year. Democrats also secured Harry Reid backed state Senator Ruben Kihuen, who will face off against unpopular Congressman Cresent Hardy for the Nevada 4th District seat. Most political prognosticators expect this seat to flip to the Democrats.
Over on the other side of the country, in Virginia, state Senator Don McEachin clinched the court redrawn 4th district, which will likely make him the second African American member from Virginia. The Republicans also suffered a defeat when seven-term Representative Randy Forbes was defeated in the primary by state Delegate Scott Taylor in the newly redrawn 2nd district, but Republicans will likely hold the seat.
The Cook Political Report has also re-classified two seats from leaning Republican to tossup: New York's 1st District and Utah's 4th District. New York's 1st was reclassified after incumbent Representative Lee Zeldin made some questionable remarks defending Trump, including calling President Obama a racist, something that may not play well in the middle of the road district. He will also face a well-funded challenger; whoever the Democrats decide on when they hold their June 28 primary. In Utah, Representative Mia Love faces a tough rematch with Democratic attorney Doug Owens, who held Love to 51% of the vote during the 2014 GOP wave. Due to Trump's unpopularity in Utah, the latest poll showed Owens up on Love 51% to 45%.
Keep your eye out for Florida, where rumblings purport that Senator Marco Rubio, a one-time candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, may jump back in the Florida Senate race to retain his seat after declaring he would not seek re-election. It's a puzzling move for Rubio, who has publicly decried how awful it was to be a U.S. senator, because they could not get anything done. But if anything, this year has taught us not to discount any political idea no matter how much it may not make sense.
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