Last week we talked about the list of Democrats in the House the GOP is planning on targeting—this week, we’ll be looking at the Republicans the Democrats are targeting. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) released a list of 32 Republican-held House seats it is aiming to turn in the 2020 election. While the DCCC will definitely be paying attention to these races, inclusion on this list does not mean that it will spend money in all of these districts—in addition to these 32 it is targeting, Democrats will be defending 31 seats in districts Trump carried in 2016.
Six of the seats the DCCC is targeting are in Texas. Five of the six seats are in districts that Trump won in 2016, but that had narrow Republican victories in 2018. The sixth seat, held by Rep. Will Hurd (TX-23) is one of three nationwide Republicans that have survived in districts won by Hillary Clinton.
The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has released a list of Republican House members they have acknowledged are likely to face difficult reelections. These members include:
- Don Bacon of Nebraska, who won reelection in his district by less than 2 points in 2018
- Lee Zeldin of New York, who won reelection by 4 points in a district carried by Trump by 12 points
- John Katko of New York, who represents a district carried by Clinton
- Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania, who represents another district carried by Clinton, and won reelection last year by less than 3 points
- Michael McCaul of Texas, who won his eighth term by 4 points
- Pete Olson of Texas, who won reelection by less than 5 points
- Will Hurd of Texas, a third-term member representing a district carried by Clinton, who has been a regular target for Democrats, and only won reelection by less than half a point
- John Carter of Texas, who won reelection by less than 3 points in a district Trump carried by 13 points
- Jaime Herrera Beutler of Washington state, a five-term Congresswoman who won reelection in 2018 by 5 points
While those are the districts the NRCC is most concerned about, only one is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report—Rep. Will Hurd of Texas. The others rated toss up include Rep. Rob Woodall (GA-7), Rep. Kenny Marchant (TX-24) and the vacant seat in NC-9.
The following is the full list of the seats the DCCC is targeting by state (with district in parenthesis). Is your member of Congress part of the list?
- Arizona: David Schweikert (6)
- California: Devin Nunes (22), Duncan Hunter (50)
- Colorado: Scott Tipton (3)
- Florida: Ross Spano (15), Brian Mast (18)
- Iowa: Steve King (4)
- Indiana: Susan Brooks (5)
- Kentucky: Andy Barr (6)
- Michigan: Fred Upton (6)
- Minnesota: Jim Hagedorn (1)
- Missouri: Ann Wagner (2)
- North Carolina: George Holding (2), Ted Budd (13), Open 9th District
- Nebraska: Don Bacon (2)
- New York: Lee Zeldin (1), Peter King (2), John Katko (24), Chris Collins (27)
- Ohio: Steve Chabot (1)
- Pennsylvania: Brian Fitzpatrick (1), Scott Perry (10), Mike Kelly (16)
- Texas: Michael McCaul (10), Chip Roy (21), Pete Olson (22), Will Hurd (23), Kenny Marchant (24)
- Washington: Jaime Herrera Beutler (3)
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