|HUPAC Roundup: A First Look at the North Carolina Mulligan|
Lots of election movement this week as potential candidates start mulling campaigns for Congress. One high-profile race in the news is which Republican candidate will challenge incumbent Democratic Senator Doug Jones in Alabama. Jones won a special election in the ruby red state against controversial Republican nominee Roy Moore, who was publicly accused of sexual misconduct against teenage girls. Moore is openly musing he may join the primary race next month to join a field that already includes Rep. Bradly Byrne (AL-01), State Rep. Arnold Mooney and former Auburn University Football Coach Tommy Tuberville. |
Republicans are worried that a crowded field could give Moore the nomination again, and are already loudly dismissing Moore and encouraging him not to run. President Donald Trump tweeted on Wednesday that Republicans cannot afford to lose the seat again and that Roy Moore cannot win the general election. Moore responded to the president that it is not his decision to make and that, if Moore runs, he can beat Jones. Alabama is a consistently Republican state where it will be tough for Jones to prevail no matter whom he faces in the general election.
The first poll of the September 10 special election do-over in North Carolina’s 9th District was released earlier this week, giving Republican Dan Bishop a 46-42 lead over Democrat Dan McCready. The Republican polling firm also found that Trump has an approval rating of 55% in the district while Democratic Governor Roy Cooper has a 41% approval rating. This is definitely a Republican-leaning seat but the fact that Bishop doesn’t have a bigger lead over McCready despite Trump’s solid approval rating in the district gives the Democrat a shot. The voters they polled also said they voted 41-40 for McCready over the 2018 nominee Mark Harris.
Lastly, facing a massive 24-candidate field for president, the Democratic National Committee has come up with a plan to winnow down the field. The third debate in September will be a sort of litmus test on whether candidates are legit. In order to qualify, candidates will need to register more than two percent or more support in four qualifying polls and garner 130,000 individual donors for grassroots support. These criteria are a two-fold increase of the prior criteria for the first two debates in the primary. The first debate is capped at 20 spots across two nights with 10 candidates on each stage. The DNC is planning a total of 12 debates to help voters decide who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president.
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